Article
Instruments of the Foreign Exchange Market

Prof. Ian Giddy, New York University


Key markets and terms

  • The foreign-exchange market. This market links prices in different countries, and governments waver between floating and fixing their exchange rates to manage this interdependence.
  • Spot and forward contracts. Spot contracts are for delivery in two business days, while forward contracts entail later excahnge of currencies.
  • The Eurocurrency market, which permits the separation of currency of denomination from country of jurisdiction.
  • Domestic financial markets are today linked through the Euromarkets. National interest rates each reflect the time value of their own money, and the forward foreign-exchange market reflects the time value of the exchange rate between the two monies
  • The foreign-exchange market links Eurocurrency interest rates, and national inflation rates and monetary policies.
  • Currency swaps, used in connection with international bond financing or investment, are the long-term counterparts of the forward-exchange market. Both allow the separation of the currency and interest-rate risks of an asset from the asset itself.
  • Eurobonds, which may be the most innovative instruments of the global financial market—because they are subject to fewer constraints than the new derivative instruments, they are frequently packaged with future- and option-like features to match investor and issuer needs in the international capital market. This exemplifies a recurring theme of international finance—that because national markets are constrained, international markets evolve to intermediate between them, creating partial but not perfect linkages between them.

Some Questions and Answers

What markets are encompassed in the term "global financial markets?"

Markets for means of payments:
The foreign-exchange market: market for the exchange of one currency for another
Markets for credit:
Markets for financial claims; markets where issuers and investors, borrowers and savers meet.
•    deposits and loans: domestic and Euro markets
•    commercial paper and bonds: fixed claims: domestic and Euro
•    equity markets: variable claims: domestic and international.
Derivative markets:
Forward contracts, futures, options and swaps.
Commodity markets.
Markets for hybrid instruments:
•    Many claims encompass two or more characteristics of the above markets, such as Eurobonds with an equity linkage.

What considerations might lead a country to fix its exchange rates rather than letting the currency's value be determined in free trading?

        (a)    Reduce uncertainty in international trade and capital flows
        (b)    Raise confidence in the country to appeal to foreign and domestic investors
        (c)    Want to link domestic monetary policy to that of a foreign country; eg Bank of Finland says "by linking the Finnmark to the ECU, we have chosen to adopt the monetary policy of the Bundesbank." In doing so willing to give up domestic monetary policy independence; can no longer influence domestic interest rates significantly.
        (d)    If the country has a tendency to run a balance of payments deficit or surplus, the domestic economy will adjust through prices and employment level, not through the exchange rate.

What does the "efficient markets" theory say about the predictability of exchange rates?

"You cannot beat the market." Actions taken by successful forecasters eventually bring market prices to the forecasted level, so eliminating abnormal profit opportunities. So cannot usually outforecast the market's forecast as reflected, for example, in forward rates. Only new information will change exchange rates and other financial market prices. Because new news is unpredictable or random, exchange rates fluctuate randomly, too.

Through what instruments are interest rates linked to one another?

Through spot-and forward-exchange rates, which when traded simultaneously are called "foreign-exchange swaps." The linkage arises via covered-interest arbitrage, where banks borrow in one currency, exchange the money into another currency where they invest it, and change the proceeds back by means of a forward-exchange contract to repay the debt. Such arbitrage, being free of exchange risk, ensures a close link between Eurocurrency interest rates through the foreign-exchange market.

Is there an important distinction between foreign-exchange forward contracts, futures and options?

(a)    A forward-exchange contract is an agreement to exchange two currencies at a future date; a commitment by each party.
(b)    Futures are also contracts to exchange currencies in the future, but the gain or loss is paid daily, eliminating most of the default risk of the commitments.
(c)    An option is not a symmetric commitment; one party has the obligation, the other party the right to buy or sell.

Rates of Exchange and Foreign Exchange Contracts

A rate of exchange is the price of one currency in terms of another currency. It is the means by which banks are able to trade foreign currencies in exchange for CFA francs, for example.

Banks quote prices at which they will buy and sell foreign currency. These are based on prices that are quoted in the major wholesale foreign exchange markets and can change constantly throughout the day depending on market forces. 

Contracts of sale between importers and exporters for the supply of goods or services should always specify the currency in which the payment is to be made.

The Export Perspective

When an exporter sells goods to a buyer with payment in a foreign currency, the foreign currency amount will be paid to the exporter. The method of remittance of the foreign currency by the importer will depend on the  method of payment agreed to in the contract of sale.

Once the exporter has been paid in foreign currency, they may then sell that foreign currency to a bank in exchange for CFA francs, or another currency. As rates of exchange are always quoted from a bank's point of view, in this case the buying rate of exchange will apply, as the bank is buying the foreign currency from the exporter.

The Import Perspective

An importer, who is required to make payment in foreign currency to an exporter (based on contract of sale and agreed  method of payment ), will need to purchase foreign currency for the payment of goods or services. The importer may purchase the foreign currency from a bank, and as the bank is selling the importer the currency, the selling rate of exchange will apply.

Forward Exchange Contracts

This is an agreement between a Bank and a customer. The bank agrees to buy from, or sell to, the customer a fixed amount in foreign currency. The contract is actioned on a fixed future date, or during a period expiring on a fixed future date, at the rate of exchange quoted in the agreement.

This agreement may cover exchange risk between a foreign currency and CFA francs, or between two foreign currencies. A bank can provide forward exchange contracts, in most foreign currencies, for the protection of exporters and importers who are subject to exchange risk in the course of their transactions. 

Foreign Currency Options

These can allow you to take advantage of favourable exchange rate movements while protecting you from the effects of adverse movements. A foreign currency option enables you to buy or sell an amount of foreign currency at an agreed rate for a certain delivery date. If rates move favorably, there is no need to exercise the option. Exchange rate risk can be reduced, or eliminated, for a known up front cost.

The fee, or 'premium' charged for a currency option varies according to factors such as the strike price, the term, and the volatility of the market.


  Examples of Spot Rates of Exchange to the US Dollar [USD]
Country
April March Feb
Jan 2003 Dec 2002 Nov Oct Sept
Aug July
June
May
April
Mar 2002
^ A - B
Algeria (Dinar) 82.15 82.49 81.59 82.15 81.58 82.43 82.48 82.42 79.70 82.60 75.98 82.65 80.12 81.47
Angola (New Kwanza) (Official rate) 67.81 65.40 61.45 52.95 31.57 50.73 46.19 46.12 35.57 42.82 39.00 35.95 31.57 34.63
Benin (CFA Franc) 592.66 631.80 629.97 653.94 687.20 696.50 693.69 693.59 692.43 684.27 728.77 759.95 745.12 785.63
Botswana (Pula) 5.15 5.24 5.42 5.39 5.65 5.96 6.26 6.20 6.11 6.10 5.98 6.47 6.69 6.76
Burkino Faso   (CFA Franc) 592.66 631.80 629.97 653.94 687.20 696.50 693.69 693.59 692.43 684.27 728.77 759.95 7445.12 785.63
Burundi Official rate (Burundi Franc) 1,056.30 1,072.20 1,061.40 1,056.40 1,051.70 1,030.05 1,049.70 882.51 857.36 877.52 894.82 895.03 746.00 894.50
^ C
Cameroon   (CFA Franc) 592.66 631.80 629.97 653.94 687.20 696.50 693.69 693.59 692.43 684.27 728.77 759.95 745.12 785.63
Cape Verde   (CV escudo) 108.95 108.95 108.95 108.95 110.87 110.54 119.80 119.80 112.84 119.80 119.80 119.67 124.38 119.80
CAR (CFA Fr) 592.66 631.80 629.97 653.94 687.20 696.50 693.69 693.59 692.43 684.27 728.77 759.95 745.12 785.63
Chad (CFA Franc) 592.66 631.80 629.97 653.94 687.20 696.50 693.69 693.59 692.43 684.27 728.77 759.95 745.12 785.63
Comoros (CFA Franc) 451.29 455.23 453.71 343.27 492.81 491.28 500.52 496.66 500.57 491.82 522.09 541.85 555.82 556.52
Dem. Rep. of Congo (formerly Zaire) 403.99 414.92 428.50 466.15 406.95 380.09 353.23 343.27 339.30 339.30 320.39 303.48 323.38 340.50
Congo (Republic of)   (CFA Franc) 592.66 631.80 629.97 653.94 687.20 696.50 693.69 693.59 692.43 684.27 728.77 759.95 745.12 785.63
Cote d'Ivoire   (CFA Franc) 592.66 631.80 629.97 653.94 687.20 696.50 693.69 693.59 692.43 684.27 728.77 759.95 745.12 785.63
^ D - E
Djibouti (Djib Franc) 180.34 180.54 180.50 180.65 181.13 180.98 170.90 171.38 176.05 171.02 171.34 169.91 176.88 176.91
Egypt (Egyptian Pound) 5.78 5.51 5.46 4.62 4.66 4.63 4.65 4.63 4.68 4.63 4.59 4.63 4.62 4.63
Equatorial Guinea (CFA Franc) 601.75 607.45 629.97 653.94 687.20 696.50 693.69 693.59 692.43 684.27 728.77 759.95 745.12 785.63
Eritrea (Eritrean Nafka) 8.70 9.65 9.65 9.50 9.50 13.65 13.65 13.55 13.55 13.55 13.55 13.55 13.55 13.55
Ethiopia (Birr) 9.65 8.71 8.66 8.67 8.86 8.85 8.84 8.72 8.69 8.70 8.87 8.79 8.80 8.80
^ G
Gabon (CFA Franc) 592.66 631.80 629.97 653.94 687.20 696.50 693.69 693.59 692.43 684.27 728.77 759.95 745.12 785.63
Gambia (Dalasi) 25.43 24.59 24.46 23.47 21.75 23.28 22.75 19.50 18.70 19.34 19.24 19.06 18.43 18.72
Ghana (Cedi) 8,375.00 8,300.00 8,233.63 8,643.00 8,506.10 8,219.00 8,142.50 8,573.50 8,451.20 7,922.50 7,997.8 7,693.53 7,986.80 7,545.00
Guinea (Guinea Franc) 2,026.90 2,028.70 2,036.80 2,029.40 1,971.00 2,033.30 2,032.80 1,940.00 1,940.00 2,039.90 2,051.60 2,044.00 1,961.00 2,043.46
Guinea-Bissau   (CFA Franc) 592.66 631.80 629.97 653.94 687.20 696.50 693.69 693.59 692.43 684.27 728.77 759.95 745.12 785.63
^ K - L
Kenya (Kenya Shilling) 76.45 76.45 77.38 76.20 80.28 79.25 79.05 79.08 79.16 78.35 78.38 78.30 78.48 78.12
Lesotho (Maluti) 7.91 8.05 8.58 8.65 9.22 10.05 10.63 10.57 10.26 10.33 9.70 10.66 11.28 6.24
Liberia (Official rate) (Liberian dollar) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 1.00 1.00 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
Libya (Dinar) 1.20 1.22 1.19 1.25 1.24 1.27 1.27 1.24 1.25 1.28 1.31 1.34 1.35 1.34
^ M
Madagascar   (MG Franc) 6,262.50 5,900.00 6,138.60 6,300.00 6,715.20 6,550.00 6,460.00 6,879.80 6,750.00 6,030.00 6,500.00 6.659.40 6.500.00 6,500.00
Malawi   (Kwacha) 89.50 87.37 88.61 87.27 80.50 81.79 82.61 75.66 74.57 78.66 78.25 78.05 78.08 74.66
Mali (CFA Franc) 592.66 631.80 629.97 653.94 687.20 696.50 693.69 693.59 692.43 684.27 728.77 759.95 745.12 785.63
Mauritania (Ouguiya) 275.82 263.30 275.94 261.75 278.96 266.94 267.60 283.69 282.60 271.00 275.00 274.13 272.50 268.90
Mauritius   (Rupee) 27.07 27.75 27.86 29.42 29.63 29.80 29.85 29.70 29.66 30.34 30.58 30.62 30.60 30.54
Morocco   (Dirham) 10.10 9.97 9.91 10.16 10.64 10.50 10.64 10.69 10.73 10.59 11.13 11.40 11.60 11.74
Mozambique   (Metical 22,995.00 22,540.00 22,900.00 24,100.00 23,229.00 23,720.00 23,460.00 23,166.00 23,350.00 23.850.00 23,700.00 23,780.00 23,210.00 22,850.00
^ N- R
Namibia   (Namibia dollar) 8.08 8.07 8.72 8.51 9.45 9.83 10.48 10.74 10.34 10.19 10.00 10.55 11.29 11.44
Niger (CFA Franc) 592.66 631.80 629.97 653.94 687.20 696.50 693.69 693.59 692.43 684.27 728.77 759.95 745.12 785.63
Nigeria (Naira) 129.55 128.13 128.00 130.62 132.89 131.28 131.54 130.86 137.51 124.09 119.99 120.11 121.29 122.46
Rwanda (Official rate) (Rwanda Franc) 506.50 506.51 508.00 497.50 495.50 477.51 472.97 474.61 469.64 458.50 457.70 455.21 454.22 456.00
^ S  
Sao Tome and Principe (Dobra) 9,019.70 9,019.70 9,019.70 9,019.70 9,019.70 9,019.70 9,019.70 9,019.70 9,019.70 9,019.70 9,019.70 8,974.60 8,974.60 8,937.20
Senegal (CFA Franc) 592.66 631.80 629.97 653.94 687.20 696.50 693.69 693.59 692.43 684.27 728.77 759.95 745.12 785.63
Seychelles (Rupee) 5.67 5.62 5.62 5.59 5.87 5.62 5.62 5.89 5.62 5.62 5.59 5.62 5.77 5.62
Sierra Leone   (Leone) 2,225.00 1,930.00 1,930.10 1,930.00 1,700.00 1,930.10 1,930.10 1,930.00 1,930.10 2,100.00 2,100.00 2,1000.00 2,100.00 1,975.00
Somalia (Official rate)  (Somalia) 2,606.90 2,606.90 2,620.00 2,606.90 2,606.90 2,606.90 2,606.90 2,606.90 2,606.90 2,606.90 2,606.90 2,606.90 2,606.90 2,620.00
South Africa (Rand) 7.88 8.12 8.49 8.59 9.22 9.93 10.56 10.58 10.24 10.37 9.81 10.62 11.28 11.42
Sudan (Dinar) 261.88 257.41 258.70 258.70 256.00 258.70 258.70 256.00 258.70 258.70 258.70 258.70 256.00 258.70
Swaziland (Lilangeni) 7.98 8.05 8.58 8.65 9.22 10.05 10.63 10.58 10.28 10.35 9.67 10.66 11.28 11.48
^ T - Z  
Tanzania   (Tanzanian shilling) 1,026.00 1,027.00 997.00 965.15 1,000.10 978.00 967.00 980.10 984.16 934.00 945.25 966.93 1,007.60 961.00
Togo (CFA Franc) 592.66 631.80 629.97 653.94 687.20 696.50 693.69 693.59 692.43 684.27 728.77 759.95 745.12 785.63
Tunisia (Dinar) 1.32 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.39 1.39 1.39 1.39 1.37 1.39 1.43 1.48 1.49 1.51
Uganda (New shilling) 1,738.00 1,738.00 1,872.60 1,820.80 1,738.00 1,815.00 1,739.00 1,738.00 1,738.00 1,738.00 1,783.00 1,784.95 1,738.00 1,740.00
Western Sahara   (Moroccan Dirham) 9.87 9.97 9.98 10.15 10.60 10.51 10.70 10.70 10.73 10.59 11.14 11.41 11.60 11.74
Zambia   (Kwacha) 4,920.00 4,890.00 5,050.00 4,600.00 5,000.00 4,750.00 4,450.00 4,550.00 4,550.00 4,385.00 4,575.00 4,200.00 4,490.00 3,850.00
Zimbabwe   (Zimbabwe dollar) 800.50 56.86 54.95 57.15 54.95 54.95 54.95 54.95 54.78 57.17 54.67 57.30 55.45 57.37
  

Examples of Forward Exchange Rates

The rates below are "inter-bank" rates relevant to very large transactions.

World Time: Lon 14:25 | NY 19:25 | Sydney 04:25

Spot Rate EUR/USD = 1.1224/1.1234
Forward Points
Outright Forward Rates
 
Period
Bid
Ask
 
Period
Bid
Ask
 
1 Month      -0.001480      -0.001980 1 Month      1.120950      1.121400
2 Month      -0.002650      -0.002160 2 Month      1.119770      1.121220
3 Month      -0.003720      -0.003230 3 Month      1.118710      1.120150
6 Month      -0.006660      -0.006180 6 Month      1.115760      1.117190
12 Month      -0.011960      -0.011010 12 Month      1.110470      1.112370
2 Year      -0.018110      -0.015590 2 Year      1.104320      1.107790





ian.giddy@nyu.edu - http://giddy.org