Amrut Nashikkar
New York University, Stern School of Business
44 W 4th Street, KMC 9-197, New York, NY 10012
Email: anashikk@stern.nyu.edu
Phone: +1-212-998-0718 |
 |
I am a fifth year Phd candidate on the job-market at the Stern School of Business, New
York University. My research interests include Fixed Income, Credit
Risk, Market Frictions, Derivatives and Financial Econometrics. My
research so far has focused on trading frictions related to liquidity
and short sales constraints, specifically in the bond markets, and on econometric models for implied volatility correlations.
Curriculum Vitae
Teaching Materials
Published and Working Papers
"Are security lending fees priced? Theory and evidence from the US treasury market"
(Job Market Paper)
I study the extent to which security lending fees affect prices in the
context of search frictions in the repo market, and make three main
theoretical contributions to the literature on shortselling: 1) I
incorporate heterogeneity in investors’ access to the repo
market, and show that securities become slowly “locked up”
from the repo market as short interest builds up; 2) I provide testable
predictions that distinguish whether short selling is due to hedging or
arbitrage activity; 3) I show that when short-selling is driven by the
hedging, the proportion of observed future lending fees that is priced
is less than one and decreases as short interest builds up. I provide
new stylized facts and test the model’s implications using
repo-rate data from regular US Treasury auctions. I find evidence that
short-selling in on-the-run US treasuries is motivated by hedging
rather than arbitrage activity. The hedging-based model matches a
number of empirical patterns in prices and repo fees over regular
auction cycles in US Treasury notes.
"Latent Liquidity: A new measure of liquidity with an application to corporate bonds" (with
G. Chacko, S. Mahanti, G. Mallik and M. Subrahmanyam)
Journal of Financial Economics (forthcoming)
Awarded the Glucksman Prize for the best research paper in
Finance at the Stern School of Business
We present a new measure of liquidity known
as "latent liquidity" and apply it to a unique corporate bond database.
Latent liquidity is defined as the weighted average turnover of
investors who hold a bond, in which the weights are the fractional
investor holdings. It can be used to measure liquidity in markets with
sparse transactions data. For bonds that trade
frequently, our measure has predictive power for both transaction costs
and the price impact of trading, over and above trading activity and
bond-specific characteristics thought to be related to liquidity.
Additionally, this measure exhibits relationships with bond
characteristics similar to those of other trade-based measures.
"Corporate bond specialness" (with Lasse Pedersen)
Working Paper
Using data on all corporate bond loans by one of the world’s largest
custodian
banks, we study the main determinants of shorting costs as measured by
rebate rate
specialness. We find that 3.0% of corporate bonds are on loan, and 11%
of loaned
bonds have substantial shorting costs above 50 basis points. In the
cross section, specialness is higher for bonds that are of worse credit
rating, higher yield spread, smaller
issues, less time to maturity, more illiquid, and bonds that appear
expensive relative
to the corresponding credit default swap. Bonds that are downgraded to
speculative
grade are more likely to be on special for several weeks before and
after the downgrade,
and have large shorting activity. Finally, equity specialness is
positively related to the
firm’s bond specialness and the bond-CDS basis.
"
Latent liquidity and corporate bond yields" (with S. Mahanti and M. Subrahmanyam)
Working Paper
Recent research has shown that default risk accounts
for only a part of the total yield spread on risky corporate bonds
relative to their risk-less benchmarks. One candidate for the
unexplained portion of the spread is a premium for liquidity. We
investigate this possibility by relating the liquidity of corporate bonds,
as measured by their ease of market access, to the basis between the credit default swap (CDS) price of the
issuer and the par-equivalent corporate bond yield spread. The ease
of access of a bond is measured using a recently developed measure
called
latent liquidity,
which is defined as the weighted
average turnover of funds holding the bond, where the weights are
their fractional holdings of the bond. We find that bonds with
higher latent liquidity are more expensive relative to their CDS
contracts, after controlling for other realized measures of
liquidity. Additionally, we document the positive effects of
liquidity in the CDS market on the CDS-bond basis. We also find that
several firm-level variables related to credit risk negatively
affect the basis, indicating that the CDS price does not fully
capture the credit risk of the bond. Furthermore, we find that when
default risk of a firm is high, its illiquid bonds are more expensive.
We also document
that bond-level variables related to features of the contract that
may be related to credit risk, such as the presence of covenants,
have a negative impact on the CDS-bond basis. These findings are
consistent with limits to arbitrage between the CDS and bond markets,
due to the costs of "shorting"
bonds.
"Implied Volatility Correlations" (with S. Figlewski and R. Engle)
Work in progress
We develop models for innovations in implied volatility and their
correlations, using a dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) based
approach. Our models match evidence that long run correlations between
implied volatilities are high, while short term correlations are low.
In addition, we uncover evidence of a factor structure in the
correlations: correlations tend to increase when there are large
positive innovations in market-wide volatilities.