Security Design with Correlated Hidden Cash Flows: The Optimality of Performance Pricing
(revise and resubmit, Journal of Political Economy)
Abstract
This paper studies optimal security design in a dynamic setting with an agency problem that arises when an agent in charge of a project can divert cash flows for his own consumption at the expense of an outside investor. Cash flows are unobservable and unverifiable by the outside investor, who relies on the agent's reports, and has the right to liquidate the project. Unlike previous analyses, we allow cash flows to be correlated over time. We solve for the optimal contract and show that it can be implemented using a credit line with an interest rate that increases with the balance on the credit line. This finding is consistent with the fact that the majority of commercial loans are lines of credit with performance pricing. Thus, our model provides theoretical evidence that performance pricing is used to mitigate the agency cost. In addition, we develop a new recursive method to deal with a correlated privately observed variable in dynamic agency settings. It allows us to reduce the dimensionality of the problem and obtain a closed-form solution for the optimal contract.
Performance-Sensitive Debt
with Gustavo Manso and Bruno Strulovici
(revise and resubmit, Review of Financial Studies)
Abstract
This paper studies performance-sensitive debt (PSD), the class of
debt obligations whose interest payments depend on some measure
of the borrower's performance. For example, step-up bonds compensate
credit rating downgrades with higher interest rates, and reward
credit rating upgrades with lower interest rates. In an endogenous default
setting, we propose a method to value PSD obligations allowing
for general payment profiles and obtain closed-form pricing formulas
in important special cases, including step-up bonds. Moreover, we
provide a criterion to compare the efficiency of PSD obligations. In
particular, we find that risk-compensating PSD obligations, such as
step-up bonds, lead to earlier default and lower equity value compared
to fixed-coupon bonds that raise the same amount of cash. Finally, we
demonstrate that risk-compensating PSD can be used as a signaling
or screening device in a setting with asymmetric information.
Optimal Mortgage Design
with Tomasz Piskorski
Abstract
This paper studies optimal mortgage design. A borrower (a household) with limited liability needs
financial support from a lender (a big financial institution) to purchase a home. We characterize the
optimal allocation in a continuous time setting in which (i) the borrower.s income is volatile and its
realization is unobservable to the lender, (ii) the lender has a right to costly foreclose the loan and
seize the house, (iii) the borrower's intertemporal consumption preferences are represented by a constant
discount factor, (iv) the lender discounts cash flows using a stochastic discount factor that depends
on the market interest rate. We show that the optimal allocation can be implemented using either a
combination of an interest only mortgage with a home equity line of credit or an option adjustable rate
mortgage. Under the optimal contracts, mortgage payments and default rates are higher when the market
interest rate is high. However, borrowers benefit from low mortgage payments and low default rates when
the market interest rate is low. Thus, our analysis provides theoretical evidence that these alternative
mortgages, which have recently generated great controversy, can benefit both lenders and borrowers.
Negative Hedging: Performance Sensitive Debt and CEOs' Equity Incentives
with David Yermack and Hayong Yun
Abstract
We examine the relation between CEOs' equity incentives and their use of performance-sensitive
debt contracts. These contracts require higher or lower interest payments when the borrower's
performance deteriorates or improves, thereby increasing expected costs of financial distress
while also making a firm riskier to the benefit of option holders. We find that managers whose
compensation is more sensitive to stock price volatility choose steeper and more convex
performance pricing schedules, while those with high delta incentives choose flatter, less convex
pricing schedules. Performance pricing contracts therefore seem to provide a channel for
managers to increase firms' financial risk to gain private benefits.
Stochastic House Appreciation and Optimal Mortgage Lending
with Tomasz Piskorski
Abstract
Assuming full rationality, we characterize the optimal mortgage contract in a continuous time setting
with a risky borrower, costly default, a moral hazard problem between the borrower and the lender, and
a stochastic house appreciation. We show that many features of subprime lending observed in practice
are consistent with economic efficiency and rationality of both borrowers and lenders. In particular,
preferential treatment of risky borrowers is optimal during the housing boom, while default clustering in
a group of the most risky borrowers is optimal during the housing slump. We also find that stochastic
house appreciation makes it profitable to give loans to risky borrowers who otherwise would be shut out
of the housing market, which generates substantial ex-ante utility gains for these borrowers.
Coming Soon
"The Inefficiency of Refinancing: Why Prepayment Penalties Are Good for Risky Borrowers"
with Chris Mayer and Tomasz Piskorski
"Optimal Securitization with Moral Hazard"
with Tomasz Piskorski