%%%%% Problem set 1 %%%%% Declare parameter values alpha = 0.33; delta = 0.04; z = 1; sigma = 2; beta = 0.97; parameters1 = [z,alpha,delta,beta]; %%%%% Declare some symbols syms kk cc zz aa dd bb [cbar,kbar] = solve('cc+kk-zz*(kk^aa)-(1-dd)*kk=0',... '1-bb*1*(1+aa*zz*(kk^(aa-1))-dd)=0',cc,kk); % Note: The second equation can only be solved for kk since % cc does not appear in it. kbar1 = double(subs(kbar,{zz,aa,dd,bb},parameters1)); cbar1 = double(subs(cbar,{zz,aa,dd,bb},parameters1)); ybar1 = 1*(kbar1^alpha); %% output ibar1 = delta*kbar1; %% investment wbar1 = (1-alpha)*ybar1; %% wage rate rbar1 = alpha*ybar1/kbar1; %% rental rate %%%%% KNOWN COEFFICIENTS A = 1; B = -1/beta; C = cbar1/kbar1; F = (1-alpha)*((1-beta+beta*delta)/sigma); G = 0; J = 1; K = -1; %%%%% SOLVE QUADRATIC IN P quadratic_coefficients = [-J*inv(C)*A,F-J*inv(C)*B-K*inv(C)*A,G-K*inv(C)*B]; Ps = roots(quadratic_coefficients) %% "roots" solves polynomials P = min(Ps) %% check that this is real and less than one in modulus. R = -inv(C)*(A*P+B) %% back out associated value of R %%%%% QUESTION 3 and QUESTION5a T = 100; k0 = -0.10; ks = zeros(T,1); %% vectors to store answers cs = zeros(T,1); ys = zeros(T,1); is = zeros(T,1); ws = zeros(T,1); rs = zeros(T,1); ts = [0;cumsum(ones(T-1,1))]; ks(1)=k0; for t = 1:T-1, ks(t+1) = P*ks(t); cs(t) = R*ks(t); ys(t) = alpha*ks(t); is(t) = inv(delta)*(ks(t+1)-(1-delta)*ks(t)); ws(t) = alpha*ks(t); rs(t) = -(1-alpha)*ks(t); end figure(3) subplot(2,1,1) plot(ts,ks,ts,cs,ts,ys,ts,is,ts,zeros(T,1),'k--') title('Recovery from a war') ylabel('Proportional deviation') legend('capital','consumption','output','investment',4) subplot(2,1,2) plot(ts,ws,ts,rs,ts,zeros(T,1),'k--') ylabel('Proportional deviation') legend('wages','rental rate') %%%%% QUESTION 4 and QUESTION5b %% First compute new steady state parameters2 = [2,alpha,delta,beta]; kbar2 = double(subs(kbar,{zz,aa,dd,bb},parameters2)); cbar2 = double(subs(cbar,{zz,aa,dd,bb},parameters2)); ybar2 = 2*(kbar2^alpha); %% output ibar2 = delta*kbar2; %% investment wbar2 = (1-alpha)*ybar2; %% wage rate rbar2 = alpha*ybar2/kbar2; %% rental rate %% Now compute implied deviation relative to new steady state k0implied = log(kbar1/kbar2); T = 100; ks = zeros(T,1); %% vectors to store answers cs = zeros(T,1); ys = zeros(T,1); is = zeros(T,1); ws = zeros(T,1); rs = zeros(T,1); ks(1)=k0implied; %% Compute time paths relative to new steady state for t = 1:T-1, ks(t+1) = P*ks(t); cs(t) = R*ks(t); ys(t) = alpha*ks(t); is(t) = inv(delta)*(ks(t+1)-(1-delta)*ks(t)); ws(t) = alpha*ks(t); rs(t) = -(1-alpha)*ks(t); end %% Now measure everything relative to old steady state values ks = ks+log(kbar2/kbar1); cs = cs+log(cbar2/cbar1); ys = ys+log(ybar2/ybar1); is = is+log(ibar2/ibar1); ws = ws+log(wbar2/wbar1); rs = rs+log(rbar2/rbar1); %% Now include a few t<0 for the pictures ks = [0;0;0;0;ks]; cs = [0;0;0;0;cs]; ys = [0;0;0;0;ys]; is = [0;0;0;0;is]; ws = [0;0;0;0;ws]; rs = [0;0;0;0;rs]; ts = [-4;-3;-2;-1;0;cumsum(ones(T-1,1))]; figure(4) subplot(2,1,1) plot(ts,ks,ts,cs,ts,ys,ts,is,ts,zeros(length(ts),1),'k--') title('Technological breakthrough') ylabel('Proportional deviation') legend('capital','consumption','output','investment',4) subplot(2,1,2) plot(ts,ws,ts,rs,ts,zeros(length(ts),1),'k--') ylabel('Proportional deviation') legend('wages','rental rate')