Biographical Summary: Mr. Kerschner is the Chief Investment Officer for Citigroup/Smith Barney.
Business Background: Mr. Kerschner, 50, has more than 30 years of experience in the securities industry. Mr. Kerschner is the Chief Investment Officer and Chairman of the Investment Policy Committee for Citigroup Smith Barney. He began his investment career in 1974 with Cowen & Co., and then joined PaineWebber in 1982 as Chief Investment Strategist and Chairman of the Investment Policy Committee. Upon the 2000 UBS AG acquisition of PaineWebber Incorporated through 2003, Mr. Kerschner was the Chief Global Strategist for UBS Investment Research. Since 2001, Mr. Kerschner has been Adjunct Professor of Finance at New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business.
Educational Background: New York University Graduate School of Business Administration, MBA; New York University School of Engineering and Science, BS.
Recent Endorsements: Edward Kerschner is perennially viewed as a top strategist on Wall Street, and has garnered praise for his market calls, and his thematic approach to investing.
Mr. Kerschner has been called "a serious student of the relationships in the financial markets who has used his investment models to make some seriously good calls."(1) While the financial community has found fault with some "Wall Street gurus (who) often shroud their predictions in enough mist that they later can claim they were right, no matter what happens"(2), Mr Kerschner has been credited for being "unusually blunt."(3) In that regard, Mr. Kerschner "won points with investors by turning strongly negative on stocks before the 1987 stock crash."(4) It was later noted that, "as stocks soared, just before the plunge, a few analysts saw signs crying sell!...With the precision of a seismograph, Mr. Kerschners indicators showed the stock market was headed for a fall."(5)
Mr Kerschner, whose quantitative approach to analyzing the market "has a strong track record,"(6) has won "plaudits for expert stock market timing,"(7) and has been called the "Best Market Timer."(8) One study noted that "a decade of results throws cold water on the notion that strategists exhibit any special ability to time the markets. . . . To be sure, Edward Kerschner of PaineWebber Group Inc. has a knack for timing."(9)
Mr. Kerschner has been called "the true visionary of the great bull market of the 90s. Consider: Kerschner called the 1987 stock market correction . . . . During the 1991 recession, he argued that consumers would start spending again, and he recognized early on that baby boomers would start saving for retirement and that there would be a big shift into equities. Last October (1998), in the midst of the correction, he was one of the few strategists who said the market would rebound from its lows. Even his own brokers were questioning his bullishness, and there were rumblings around his office that perhaps Kerschner had lost his touch. But he stuck to his guns and kept telling people to buy, claiming he had never seen as good an opportunity."(10) At the end of the 1990s, it was noted that "Ed Kerschner has been consistently correct about the direction of this market for more than a decade now . . ."(11)
Mr. Kerschner has also been called "one of the deans of thematic investing."(12) To explain the concept of thematic investing, a leading business publication posed a question: "So what good are strategists, anyway-apart from their roles as firm spokesperson and TV talking head? Well, the good ones-the really good ones-can often point to specific stock groups that will shine over the long haul. And the strategist who does it best is Ed Kerschner of Paine Webber."(13)
Over the years, Mr. Kerschner´s thematic approach to investing has won the support of clients. In 1998, it was noted that "as [Kerschner] anticipated, the gorillas are increasingly dominant in what has become a largely big-cap market. And the consumer recovery he championed has, as one supporter puts it, played out in spades. Kerschner rightly backed information-age technology stocks and was selective on Internet ventures. ´Ed´s been so consistently right,´ says one client admiringly, ´it´s been fun to watch him work.´"(14) In 1999, another client commented that "He´s always trying to get a little more deep than just the surface stuff. Hes great for thematic investing," citing Kerschner´s work on such concepts as the technology revolution and the countrys aging population in major research reports.(15)
Some observers said that Mr. Kerschner "really earned his stripes . . . when he called the top in the Nasdaq back in March (2000)"(16) Another commentator noted that Kerschner´s remarks in his market commentary of March 12, 2000 were "remarkably prescient,"(17) noting the extreme disparity in valuations among smokestack America, established technology companies and the "new new industrials." "What´s impressive isn´t so much that Kerschner turned out to be right...but, his reasoning is persuasive."(18)
1 June 1985, Wall $treet Week´s Louis Rukeyser