Investor Protection, Optimal Incentives, and Economic Growth
by Rui Castro, Gian Luca Clementi, and Glenn MacDonald
Quarterly Journal of Economics, Volume 119, Issue 3, August 2004, pages 1131-1175
Recent empirical evidence has suggested a positive association between various measures of investor protection and financial markets' development, and between financial markets' development and economic growth. We introduce investor protection in a simple extension of the two-period overlapping generations model of capital accumulation and study how protection affects economic growth. Investor protection is positively related to risk-sharing. As is standard in models of investment with risk-averse agents, better protection (better risk sharing) results in a larger demand for capital. This is the demand effect. A second effect, which we call the supply effect, follows form general equilibrium restrictions. For a given aggregate capital stock, better protection (i.e. a higher demand schedule) implies a higher interest rate. The aggregate resource constraint then implies lower income for the entrepreneurs (the younger cohort). As a result, current savings and the supply of capital in the following period decrease. It turns out that the strength of the supply effect is greater, the tighter the restrictions on capital flows. Therefore our model predicts that the positive effect of investor protection on growth is stronger for countries with lower restrictions. We find that the data provides some support for this prediction.
Notice: a previous version of this paper circulated under the title "Optimal Financing Contracts, Investor Protection, and Growth".
Working paper version available at Repec