Investor Protection, Optimal Incentives, and Economic Growth
by Rui Castro, Gian Luca Clementi, and Glenn MacDonald
Notice: a previous version of this paper circulated under the title "Optimal Financing Contracts, Investor Protection, and Growth".
Abstract
Recent empirical evidence has suggested a positive association between various
measures of investor protection and
financial markets' development, and between financial markets' development and
economic growth. We introduce investor protection
in a simple extension of the two-period overlapping generations model of
capital accumulation and study how protection affects economic
growth. Investor protection is positively related to risk-sharing. As is
standard in models of investment with risk-averse agents,
better protection (better risk sharing) results in a larger demand for capital.
This is the demand effect. A second effect,
which we call the supply effect, follows form general equilibrium
restrictions. For a given aggregate capital
stock, better protection (i.e. a higher demand schedule) implies a higher
interest rate.The aggregate resource constraint then
implies
lower income for the entrepreneurs (the
younger cohort). As a result, current savings and the supply of capital in
the following period decrease. It turns out that the strength of the supply
effect is greater, the tighter the restrictions on
capital flows. Therefore our model predicts that the positive effect of
investor protection on growth is stronger for countries
with lower restrictions. We find that the data provides some support for this
prediction.