Markets
Stock
Focus: Book-Value Bargains
Jody
Yen,
Forbes.com, 05.16.01,
8:47 AM ET
NEW
YORK - Generations of fundamental investors learned from the master, Benjamin
Graham,
to look for stocks that were cheap relative to their book value. Book value is a
measure of what a firm's assets are worth after deducting for depreciation and
other claims on the company, such as short- and long-term liabilities.
Tangible
book value measures physical assets, such as factories, office buildings, real
estate and inventories. Excluded from tangible book value are such intangible
items such as patents, trademarks and the premium paid when acquiring another
company--goodwill.
Assets,
of course, are only worth what a buyer is willing to pay for them. A company is
likely to have a hard time finding a buyer to pay book value for an antiquated
factory or obsolete inventory. This limitation aside, book value is still a
useful metric for valuing stocks. In fact, the dot-com collapse is a reminder
that physical assets still have value.
One
potential book-value bargain is Robert Mondavi(nasdaq: MOND - news - people), an Oakville,
Calif.-based vintner. Though not a classic book-value bargain in the Ben Graham
sense, in a world where the Standard & Poor's 500 trades for 6.2 times tangible
book, a stock such as Mondavi, with a price-to-tangible book of 2 seems
relatively cheap.
Mondavi's
vineyards account for 15% of total assets of $873 million; the rest is tied up
in inventories, agricultural supplies and other items. Shares of Mondavi sell
for 17 times estimated 2001 profits and 14 times estimated earnings for next
year. (The firm's fiscal year ends in June.)
The
following table lists five companies whose stocks trade at no more than three
times their tangible book. Each company's five-year average return on equity is
at least 14%. All these stocks sell for less than 18 times estimated 2001
profits and are expected to post at least 11% average annual earnings growth
over the next three to five years.
Auto
racing is the fastest growing spectator sport in the U.S., yet Speedway
Motorsports (nyse: TRK - news - people) sells for a modest 2.9 times tangible book. Most of Speedway's
revenue come from ticket sales at its six company-owned U.S. tracks, including
Las Vegas Motor Speedway and Atlanta Motor Speedway.
Speedway
stock recently took a hit due to the cancellation of the Firestone Firehawk 600
race at Texas Motor Speedway. Drivers practicing for this race were,
apparently, passing out from the high speeds on the banked track. Despite this
setback, security analysts expect Speedway's earnings will increase 28% this
year.
Athletic
footwear and apparel maker Reebok International(nyse: RBK - news - people) has a
price-to-tangible book value of 2.8 versus 3.5 for rival Nike (nyse: NKE - news - people). In spite of a slight
decline in revenue last year--due in part to unfavorable currency exchange
rates--Reebok's earnings rose 30% in the first quarter.
In
December, Reebok signed a ten-year exclusive licensing agreement with the NFL, beginning with the
2002 football season, and, in February, Reebok bought selected assets from LogoAthletic, formerly the largest
supplier of NFL-licensed apparel. Reebok trades at 16 times 2001 estimated
earnings.
Stocks
With Cheap Price-To-Book-Value Ratios
Company
Price
PBV PE ROE EPS Growth* MV
Constellation
Brands $35.17
1.1 6 14%
16% $1,649
Reebok
International 27.76
2.9 16 15
11 1,624
Robert
Mondavi 49.72
2.0 17 14
18 794
Speedway
Motorsports 21.96
2.9 15 15
18 917
Wendy's
International 25.21
2.7 15 14
14 2,865
Prices
as of May 15. EPS: Earnings per share. P/E: Price-to-earnings ratio. *Annualized; projected over the
next three to five years. Sources: FT Interactive Data, Market Guide, Thomson
Financial/IBES via FactSet Research Systems