Characteristics of growth companies
Growth
companies are diverse in size, growth prospects and can be spread out over very
different businesses but they share some common characteristics that make an
impact on how we value them. In this section, we will look at some of these
shared features:
- Dynamic financials:
Much of the information that we use to value companies comes from their
financial statements (income statements, balance sheets and statements of
cash flows). One feature shared by growth companies is that the numbers in
these statements are in a state of flux. Not only can the numbers for the
latest year be very different from numbers in the prior year, but can
change dramatically even over shorter time periods. For many smaller, high
growth firms, for instance, the revenues and earnings from the most recent
four quarters can be dramatically different from the revenues and earnings
in the most recent fiscal year (which may have ended only a few months
ago).
- Private
and Public Equity: It is accepted as conventional wisdom that the
natural path for a young company that succeeds at the earliest stages is
to go public and tap capital markets for new funds. There are three
reasons why this transition is neither as orderly nor as predictable in
practice. The first is that the private to public transition will vary
across different economies, depending upon both institutional
considerations and the development of capital markets. Historically,
growth companies in the United States have entered public markets earlier
in the life cycle than growth companies in Europe, partly because this is
the preferred exit path for many venture capitalists in the US. The second
is that even within any given market, access to capital markets for new
companies can vary across time, as markets ebb and flow. In the United
States, for instance, initial public offerings increase in buoyant markets
and drop in depressed markets; during the market collapse in the last
quarter of 2008, initial public offerings came to a standstill. The third
is that the pathway to going public varies across sectors, with companies
in some sectors like technology and biotechnology getting access to public
markets much earlier in the life cycle than firms in other sectors such as
manufacturing or retailing. The net effect is that the growth
companies that we cover in chapter will draw on a mix of private equity
(venture capital) and public equity for their equity capital. Put another
way, some growth companies will be private businesses and some will be publicly
traded; many of the latter group will still have venture capitalists and
founders as large holders of equity.
- Size disconnect:
The contrast we drew in chapter 1 between accounting and financial balance
sheets, with the former focused primarily on existing investments and the
latter incorporating growth assets into the mix is stark in growth
companies. The market values of these companies, if they are publicly
traded, are often much higher than the accounting (or book) values, since
the former incorporate the value of growth assets and the latter often do
not. In addition, the market values can seem discordant with the operating
numbers for the firm – revenues and earnings. Many growth firms that
have market values in the hundreds of millions or even in the billions can
have small revenues and negative earnings. Again, the reason lies in the
fact that the operating numbers reflect the existing investments of the
firm and these investments may represent a very small portion of the
overall value of the firm.
- Use
of debt: While the usage of debt can vary across sectors, the growth
firms in any business will tend to carry less debt, relative to their
value (intrinsic or market), than more stable firms in the same business,
simply because they do not have the cash flows from existing assets to
support more debt. In some sectors, such as technology, even more mature
growth firms with large positive earnings and cash flows are reluctant to
borrow money. In other sectors, such as telecommunications, where debt is
a preferred financing mode, growth companies will generally have lower
debt ratios than mature companies.
- Market history is short
and shifting: We are dependent upon market price inputs for several
key components of valuation and especially so for estimating risk
parameters (such as betas). Even if growth companies are publicly traded,
they tend to have short and shifting histories. For example, an analyst
looking at Google in early 2009 would have been able to draw on about 4
years of market history (a short period) but even those 4 years of data
may not be particularly useful or relevant because the company changed
dramatically over that period – from revenues in millions to
revenues in billions, operating losses to operating profits and from a small
market capitalization to a large one.
While
the degree to which these factors affect growth firms can vary across firms,
they are prevalent in almost every growth firm.