Importance: **
Definition: New
home sales is a leading indicator of economic activity. The report covers
the number of new, privately owned single-family houses sold during the
month.
Related Indicators:
Source: Bureau of the Census of the U.S. Department of Commerce.
Frequency: Monthly
Availability: Four to five weeks following the reported month
Direction:
Timing:
Volatility: Moderate
Likely Impact of Financial Markets:
Interest Rates: Larger-than-expected monthly increase or increasing
trend is
considered inflationary, causing bond prices to drop and yields and interest
rates to
rise
Stock Prices:
Exchange Rates:
Ability to Affect Markets:
Analysis of the Indicator:
As the data is moderately volatile, it is best to use the three-month
moving average and year-to- year
percentage changes. Some economists believe a more accurate indicator
is existing home sales,
which uses a sample size four times larger than new home sales data.
The bond market considers this report to be of moderate importance.
WEB Links
A Graph of the latest New Home Sales data from Census Economic Briefing Room.
The latest New
Home Sales report from the Census Economic Briefing Room.