smalHistorical Implied Equity Risk Premiums

Data Used: Multiple data services

Date of Analysis: Historical Implied Equity Risk Premiums for the US

Download as an excel file instead: http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pc/datasets/histimpl.xls

Year Earnings Yield Dividend Yield S&P 500 T.Bond Rate Implied Premium (FCFE) ERP/Riskfree Rate
1960 5.34% 3.41% 58.11 2.76%    
1961 4.71% 2.85% 71.55 2.35% 2.92% 1.24
1962 5.81% 3.40% 63.1 3.85% 3.56% 0.92
1963 5.51% 3.13% 75.02 4.14% 3.38% 0.82
1964 5.62% 3.05% 84.75 4.21% 3.31% 0.79
1965 5.73% 3.06% 92.43 4.65% 3.32% 0.71
1966 6.74% 3.59% 80.33 4.64% 3.68% 0.79
1967 5.66% 3.09% 96.47 5.70% 3.20% 0.56
1968 5.51% 2.93% 103.86 6.16% 3.00% 0.49
1969 6.63% 3.52% 92.06 7.88% 3.74% 0.47
1970 5.98% 3.46% 92.15 6.50% 3.41% 0.52
1971 5.46% 3.10% 102.09 5.89% 3.09% 0.52
1972 5.23% 2.70% 118.05 6.41% 2.72% 0.42
1973 8.16% 3.70% 97.55 6.90% 4.30% 0.62
1974 13.64% 5.43% 68.56 7.40% 5.59% 0.76
1975 8.55% 4.14% 90.19 7.76% 4.13% 0.53
1976 9.07% 3.93% 107.46 6.81% 4.55% 0.67
1977 11.43% 5.11% 95.1 7.78% 5.92% 0.76
1978 12.11% 5.39% 96.11 9.15% 5.72% 0.63
1979 13.48% 5.53% 107.94 10.33% 6.45% 0.62
1980 11.04% 4.74% 135.76 12.43% 5.03% 0.40
1981 12.39% 5.57% 122.55 13.98% 5.73% 0.41
1982 9.83% 4.93% 140.64 10.47% 4.90% 0.47
1983 8.06% 4.32% 164.93 11.80% 4.31% 0.37
1984 10.07% 4.68% 167.24 11.51% 5.11% 0.44
1985 7.42% 3.88% 211.28 8.99% 3.84% 0.43
1986 5.96% 3.38% 242.17 7.22% 3.58% 0.50
1987 6.49% 3.71% 247.08 8.86% 3.99% 0.45
1988 8.20% 3.68% 277.72 9.14% 3.77% 0.41
1989 6.80% 3.32% 353.4 7.93% 3.51% 0.44
1990 6.58% 3.74% 330.22 8.07% 3.89% 0.48
1991 4.58% 3.11% 417.09 6.70% 3.48% 0.52
1992 4.16% 2.90% 435.71 6.68% 3.55% 0.53
1993 4.25% 2.72% 466.45 5.79% 3.17% 0.55
1994 5.89% 2.91% 459.27 7.82% 3.55% 0.45
1995 5.74% 2.30% 615.93 5.57% 3.29% 0.59
1996 4.83% 2.01% 740.74 6.41% 3.20% 0.50
1997 4.08% 1.60% 970.43 5.74% 2.73% 0.48
1998 3.11% 1.32% 1229.23 4.65% 2.26% 0.49
1999 3.07% 1.14% 1469.25 6.44% 2.05% 0.32
2000 3.94% 1.23% 1320.28 5.11% 2.87% 0.56
2001 3.85% 1.37% 1148.09 5.05% 3.62% 0.72
2002 5.23% 1.83% 879.82 3.81% 4.10% 1.08
2003 4.87% 1.61% 1111.91 4.25% 3.69% 0.87
2004 5.58% 1.60% 1211.92 4.22% 3.65% 0.86
2005 5.47% 1.79% 1248.29 4.39% 4.08% 0.93
2006 6.18% 1.77% 1418.3 4.70% 4.16% 0.89
2007 5.62% 1.89% 1468.36 4.02% 4.37% 1.09
2008 7.24% 3.11% 903.25 2.21% 6.43% 2.91
2009 5.35% 2.00% 1115.10 3.84% 4.36% 1.14
2010 6.65% 1.84% 1257.64 3.29% 5.20% 1.58
2011 7.72% 2.07% 1257.60 1.88% 6.01% 3.20
2012 7.18% 2.13% 1426.19 1.76% 5.78% 3.28
2013 5.81% 1.96% 1848.36 3.04% 4.96% 1.63
2014 5.49% 1.92% 2058.90 2.17% 5.78% 2.66
2015 5.20% 2.11% 2043.94 2.27% 6.12% 2.70
2016 4.86% 2.01% 2238.83 2.45% 5.69% 2.32
2017 4.67% 1.86% 2673.61 2.41% 5.08% 2.11
2018 5.92% 2.14% 2506.85 2.68% 5.96% 2.22