Publication date:
02-Jul-2001
Reprinted from RatingsDirect
Commentary
Principles for Analyzing Structured Finance/Corporate Hybrid
Transactions
Analyst:
Elena Folkerts-Landau, London (44) 20-7826-3703;
Adele Archer, London (44) 20-7826-3830;
Blaise Ganguin, Paris (33) 1-4420-6698;
Apea Koranteng, London (44) 20-7826-3531

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Standard & Poor's has developed principles underlying
its approach to rating transactions carrying risk that is a hybrid
between pure corporate risk and the risk associated with traditional
securitizations backed by financial assets or diversified pools
of corporates, as in collateralized debt obligation (CDO) transactions.
These are generally known as hybrid transactions and sometimes
as whole business securitizations.
Chief
Financial Benefits
Hybrid transactions
offer a number of financial benefits to corporate borrowers relative
to standard corporate secured financing. The benefits arise from
the transaction structure's enhanced financial ability to service
debt, which in turn is due to features borrowed from asset securitization
technology.
The enhanced capacity to service debt means that hybrid transactions
support greater financial leverage. They tend to carry a lower
nominal cost of debt, due to higher credit ratings, and they usually
have a longer maturity, which reduces pressure on the corporate
issuer to plan refinancing.
The debt tends to be amortizing rather than bullet, in order
to provide a continuous signal to noteholders of the transaction's
satisfactory financial performance.
Classification
Hybrid transactions
fall within the spectrum bounded by pure corporate risk on one end
and commoditized asset-backed securities (ABS) on the other. Since
each transaction falls on a unique point within this spectrum, there
is no standard blueprint for rating these transactions. Generally,
the assets may not be suited to actuarial analysis.
Individual hybrid transactions are structured on a made-to-measure
basis, unlike standard ABS transactions. Whereas hybrid collateral
includes a unique set of operating assets in ongoing use, and
therefore shares many features of standard corporate ratings,
hybrid transactions are reinforced by structural elements normally
utilized in asset-backed securitizations.
The collateral underlying hybrid transactions, however, contrasts
with the collateral of structured ABS, such as mortgage-backed
or credit card-backed securities, insofar as the former normally
lacks an extensive performance track record and may, therefore,
be less amenable to statistical analysis. Furthermore, operating
assets are often less diversified, less homogeneous, and need
to be actively managed in order to generate cash flows. Therefore
their revenue-generating characteristics can often be more closely
aligned with a specific operator's performance.
Ratings
Objective
Hybrid transactions
may be identified by their specifically adapted structure, their
debt quantum, the presence of credit enhancement, and performance
criteria. Together, these address issues related to the unique assets
being used as collateral. Therefore, any ratings criteria will address
the principles of analysis of these transactions rather than provide
a blueprint for meeting criteria.
Whereas Standard & Poor's criteria for traditional asset-backed
structures involve solving for the level of credit enhancement
that supports a given rating, with other variables fixed, this
is not the case for hybrid transactions. Instead, the rating of
hybrid transactions entails the optimization of a number of variables,
including credit enhancement. Standard & Poor's objective
is to strike the best balance in the value-added of numerous variables,
some of which are more conducive to negotiation during the structuring
process than others.
Relevant Inputs into the Ratings Analysis
The hybrid rating process is essentially a blending of corporate
business risk and structured finance analysis that builds on the
principles of both with the ultimate goal of maximizing noteholders'
control over the cash-generating assets.
To this end, Standard & Poor's conducts an analysis
on the basis of the following information:
- Business risk assessment;
- Assessment of management and operations;
- Alternative operator/servicer;
- Cash flow structure and modeling;
- Legal and tax structure;
- Credit enhancements and other structural supports; and
- Effectiveness and/or enforceability of mitigants in the form
of covenants and third party activities, such as asset valuation,
servicing, and audits.
Similarities to Corporate Analysis
There is considerable overlap between the information gathered
and analyzed by Standard & Poor's for a hybrid transaction
and a standard corporate rating. Critical inputs into the business
profile of both include:
- Business plan;
- Management intensity;
- Competitive position in the industry;
- Economic development of the industry;
- Barriers to market entry (regulatory or commercial);
- Income diversity through product line, assets, and geographical
distribution;
- Cash flow stability, in terms of the business operator's
track record, the predictability of demand for core products
and services, and a contractual revenue stream generated by
concessions or leases;
- Counterparty risk;
- Growth prospects;
- Capital intensity (with emphasis on proven capacity); and
- Technology risk.
Similarities to Structured Finance Analysis
There is somewhat less overlap between the information gathered
and analyzed for a hybrid transaction and a standard securitization,
because the assets involved are not self-liquidating financial
assets. In addition, hybrids have a far more limited capacity
to lend themselves to an actuarial approach.
Nevertheless, there are some noteworthy similarities between
the approaches taken by Standard & Poor's for hybrid and
structured finance transactions. A detailed cash flow model of
assets and their matching to the debt liabilities is stressed
and the results analyzed. Structural support in the form of a
liquidity facility and/or cash reserve is common and often crucial
to the ratings outcome. Both types of transactions entail debt
tranching and structural subordination, although smaller deals
often require a single tranche. Sequential repayment of debt tranches
is frequently taken into consideration.
More critical in hybrids than in many standard asset-backed
deals is the discipline imposed on the business operator to adhere
to specified behavior and minimum level of performance. This is
accomplished by means of features of the transaction structure,
in particular through:
- Continuous vetting and supervision of information, accounts,
as well as the legal and regulatory framework;
- Covenants, both to constrain the behavior of parties to the
transaction and to provide for possible early termination of
the debt;
- The record of judicial enforcement in the relevant jurisdiction;
and
- The performance and incentives of the servicer.
Link Between Corporate Business Risk and Hybrid
Transaction Ratings
The first step in optimizing the key variables so as to maximize
noteholders' control over the cash-generating assets is to
isolate financial risks from business risks to the extent feasible.
Structural features frequently employed in standard asset securitizations
are introduced into the hybrid structure with the aim of compensating
for a host of financial risks, including operator insolvency risk,
the operator's willingness to pay, set-off risk, secondary
tax issues, refinancing risk, and event risk.
The
Building Blocks in Rating Hybrid Transactions
Standard &
Poor's corporate credit rating measures an obligor's ability
and willingness to meet its financial commitments as they come
due. Structural reduction of financial risks mitigates the risk
associated with a firm's willingness to service its debt.
It also results in a hybrid transaction structure that is characterized
principally by a significant level of business (i.e., operating)
risk and an uncertain level of cash flow sustainability. The corporate
business risk score serves as Standard & Poor's starting
point in establishing a rating, as is illustrated below.
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If Standard & Poor's has already provided a corporate
(unsecured) credit rating for the relevant business operator,
then there is potential to raise the rating for secured creditors,
all other factors being equal. This is a result of the risk mitigation
generated by isolating the transaction structure from the aforementioned
financial risks, via a true sale of the collateral or a favorable
secured loan structure (see, for example, Standard & Poor's
article "Analyzing English Secured Loans" of Sept. 11,
1997).
To date, Standard & Poor's has been involved in rating
secured corporate debt, which, in the U.K., has benefited from
an uplift ranging between one and four notches--and averaging
two notches--over the corporate (unsecured) credit rating of the
issuer. Thereafter, Standard & Poor's may assess additional
benefits to specified debt tranches in response to structural
features, such as the ranking of payments under the payments waterfall
structure, a variety of credit enhancements, and the quantum and
mix of debt and equity.
This may result in an additional ratings uplift--to date up
to six notches, or two ratings categories--over the business risk
score. Because of the numerous permutations of such potential
benefits, there can be no single formula for arriving at a final
rating of hybrid debt tranches. Instead, a broad range of rating
solutions follows.
Key
Variables in Assigning Ratings
Standard &
Poor's looks at three types of variables in assigning ratings
to hybrid transactions. First, there are quantitative variables,
whose values tend to be fixed by circumstance or inherent business
characteristics. Second, there are qualitative variables whose values
likewise tend to be fixed. Third, there are qualitative variables
whose values can be negotiated and eventually "tweaked"
in order to optimize their respective value-added in respect of
the transaction rating.
Quantitative variables consist primarily of measures of cash
flow relevant to the business and incentive "hooks" on
the sponsor, such as cash equity and dividend restrictions. The
importance of keeping the sponsor motivated to keep the transaction
performing cannot be understated. Cash flow measures include line
items for each relevant asset, and are not limited to EBITDA.
Standard & Poor's typically looks through all relevant
line items in a company income statement. The aim of the analysis
is to unmask and understand cash flows available for debt service,
given that historical cash flows may not always be the best guide
to future performance. The range of line items may be narrowed,
depending on the importance of any single line item to overall
cash flow contribution. An adjustment to the cash flows is made
to reflect accounting technicalities that may not apply to this
application.
As the cash flow data does not normally lend itself to an actuarial
analysis because of its limited history, Standard & Poor's
undertakes a range of stress flow analyses. "Monte Carlo"
simulations can be a useful tool in some cases, but may be inappropriate
when insufficient historical data is available to develop the
requisite assumptions fully. Determining the stress tests to be
applied is the detailed analysis of the business risk inherent
in the transaction and the likely quality of the cash flow generated.
Among the qualitative variables, whose values are largely fixed
before the hybrid rating process has commenced, are the business
risk assessment, the degree of asset diversity in the collateral
stock, the legal structure, and the degree to which continuous
supervision of operator performance is feasible.
With respect to the business risk, Standard & Poor's
assesses the degree and scope of operating risk and residual financial
risk inherent in the proposed transaction structure, as well as
any other relevant aspects of business risk. Key elements in the
legal structure are the nature of the security that is proposed
and the jurisdiction in which the legal provisions and covenants
in the transaction documents are applied. The nature of the security
on the collateral stock relates in the first instance to the degree
to which a true sale away from the operating sponsor, or equivalent
true control of the relevant cash-generating assets, is achieved.
In addition, Standard & Poor's looks favorably upon a
high degree of delinkage of any proprietary expertise of the business
operator from the assets' cash-generating capacity. This is
frequently effected through a committed and competent servicer,
or back-up servicer. Alternatively, where a committed back-up
does not exist initially, the analysis focuses on the ability,
cost, and timing implications of sourcing alternative operators
or servicers as needed.
Covenants can serve a number of functions, including preserving
repayment capacity; protecting the integrity of the assets and
business position; providing signals and triggers to ensure the
steady flow of information, introduce early warning signals of
credit deterioration, and place the bond trustee in a position
of influence should deterioration occur; and purposes that are
standard in ABS transactions.
This leaves a set of variables in respect of which there is
quite a bit of scope to improve the risk profile of the securitized
debt. Many are structural supports, such as covenants aimed at
disciplining the operator or triggering early termination of the
debt and/or of the secured loan to allow enforcement of the underlying
security when negative signals occur about the business' future
cash-generating prospects. Other negotiable variables include
the final maturity of the debt, the average life of individual
debt tranches, as well as their respective ranking within the
payment waterfall, and the degree of debt leverage. Indeed, the
scope for leverage and, ultimately, the quantum of total debt
that can be raised in a hybrid transaction are positively influenced
by the size of the equity contribution, dividend restrictions,
provisions for cash reserves, and the senior/subordination structure.
Subordinated debt can take the form of traditional securitized
debt tranches as well as, for example, preferred stock.
Taken together, the quantitative and qualitative variables produce
a range of potential rating outcomes. Standard & Poor's
assesses alternative values of the variables (to the extent that
there is scope for their negotiation or "tweaking") in
respect of their relevance, capacity to achieve ratings objectives,
and consistency across both structured and hybrid transactions.
Distinguishing
Characteristics of Hybrid Ratings
The ratings
of hybrid transactions to date have tracked the evolution of this
type of transaction as a type of financing tool. Changes can be
expected in respect of ratings volatility as experience is gained.
Volatility
On average, the ratings should turn out to be less variable than
corporate ratings but more variable than traditional ratings of
asset-backed securitizations. Potential ratings volatility arises
because of the likelihood of cash flow volatility within the transaction
structure, in reflection of the inherent business risk. Nevertheless,
such volatility is partially stemmed by the application of structural
supports. Indeed, like corporate ratings, hybrid ratings are far
more sensitive to the inherent business risk than are standard
ABS ratings. In the case of actual hybrid transactions to date,
the business risk has tended to be moderate, representing largely
mature, stable businesses scored within a narrow range of 'BBB'
to 'BB'. Furthermore, the frequent lack of an historical
record for the business operators' performance in these deals
exacerbates the level of uncertainty about the future.
Boundaries
The upper boundary of hybrid ratings, in principle, is the rating
level that applies to classical, highly leveraged, highly rated,
and commoditized asset-backed securitizations. In practice, however,
the highest hybrid rating achieved to date has been 'A'
on an unwrapped basis. Standard & Poor's has not as yet
rated a hybrid transaction with original business risk scores
below 'BB'.
Operating sponsors whose business risk corresponds to a rating
below 'BB' are unlikely to benefit from a hybrid transaction.
This is so because their future cash flows are, by definition
of the rating, so uncertain that in the opinion of Standard &
Poor's they cannot justify stretching the maturity of the
debt, nor supporting a larger debt quantum than in a pure corporate
risk transaction. Likewise, certain kinds of businesses are unlikely
to benefit from a hybrid transaction. These include businesses
that are capital intensive, are reliant on unique management skills,
or are rapidly evolving (owing to the high degree of technology
risk).
In contrast, there are three types of business operations that
are particularly well suited to hybrid transactions. These are:
- Market value transactions, such as the 2000 Marne et Champagne
deal, which involve cash flows generated from the liquidation
or turnover of inventories.
- Transactions since 1997 involving a portfolio of fixed assets,
such as the public houses (pubs), nursing homes, and motorway
service concessions, which involve cash flows generated from
rental payments and other business revenues.
- Transactions involving discrete assets, which generate cash
flows from revenues in a small number of businesses.
The types of companies, asset classes, and industries lending
themselves to hybrid transactions are summarized in chart 2 below.
Also, see Standard & Poor's article "Facing Up to
the Rating Challenges of Whole Business Securitizations" published
Dec. 15, 2000.
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Potential
Effect on Corporate Credit Rating
Standard &
Poor's will review the effect of a hybrid transaction on the
credit profile of a firm in much the same way as off-balance-sheet
financing, project financing, or real estate sale-leasebacks. For
instance, debt contracted in the context of a securitization of
financial assets, such as a receivables program, is added back to
the balance sheet with attendant assets for the purpose of ratio
calculations. This permits a better comparison with firms that have
chosen other avenues of financing, since credit measures guidelines
assume that comparisons between companies are not flawed by diverse
flexibility levels and balance-sheet structures.
In the case of a hybrid transaction, which involves the securitization
of operating assets, Standard & Poor's will consider the
strategic and economic importance to the rest of the company in
order to determine whether or not to consolidate the debt. In
any event, both the corporate credit rating and the unsecured
debt rating can be affected, and in different ways. In addition,
Standard & Poor's integrates the implications of the securitization
into its understanding of the company's financial policy,
notably in respect of any reinvestment of the issuance proceeds,
potentially in riskier assets.
If Standard & Poor's assessment is that a firm would
not support the securitized assets in the event of financial stress,
the firm's credit profile is reviewed accordingly. The effect
of a hybrid transaction on a firm's business profile would
be negative to neutral, depending on the quality of the assets
securitized and the attendant cash flow. However, the potentially
negative effect could be somewhat offset by the positive effect
of the firm's finances, if such a transaction results in debt
reduction or improved financial flexibility.
Conversely, Standard & Poor's could deem that the assets
being securitized are key to a firm's strategy, and that the
firm would support them both financially and/or operationally
in case of stress. In this instance, it would be difficult to
de-couple the securitized assets from the firm. The impact of
such a transaction on a firm's credit profile may be negative,
as debt leverage would likely increase while the business profile
would remain unchanged.
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Published by Standard & Poor's, a Division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Executive offices: 1221 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10020. Editorial offices: 55 Water Street, New York, NY 10041. Subscriber services: (1) 212-438-7280. Copyright 2001 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Reproduction in whole or in part prohibited except by permission. All rights reserved. Information has been obtained by Standard & Poor's from sources believed to be reliable. However, because of the possibility of human or mechanical error by our sources, Standard & Poor's or others, Standard & Poor's does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy, or completeness of any information and is not responsible for any errors or omissions or the result obtained from the use of such information. Ratings are statements of opinion, not statements of fact or recommendations to buy, hold, or sell any securities.
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