Business Cycle Indicators Homepage

Hypertext Glossary of Business Cycle Indicators
The hypertext glossary presents an analysis of over 30 business cycle indictors. For each indicator, we present a measure of importance, definition, related indicators, source, frequency, availability, direction relative to the business cycle (procyclical, counter-cyclical, acyclical), timing (coincident, lagging or leading indicator), volatility, likely impact on financial markets (bond prices, stock prices and the exchange rate), ability to affect markets, analysis of the indicator and links to WEB sources (data, charts, graphs and analysis of the indicator).
An Introduction to Business Cycle Indicators and Forecasting
This page  introduces you to the basic facts of business cycle indicators and how they can be used for forecasting the economy and interest rate.

Links to Data and Analyses of Business Cyle Indicators
This page presents links to WEB site where you can find data, information and analysis of business cycle indicators.
Recent Data
This page provides a table with the updated figures on recent business cycle indicators.

Business Cycle Properties of Major Macro Variables
This page provides charts showing the properties of major business cycle indicators. Peaks and troughs of the business cycle are shown in the charts: they suggest the to the direction of the indicator relative to the business cycle (procyclical, counter-cyclical, acyclical) and the timing of the indicator (coincident, lagging or leading indicator).
Lecture Notes on Business Cycle Indicators
Chapter 1: Monitoring Macroeconomic Performance presents an introduction to GDP and its components and an discussion of price indexes. Chapter 2: Business and Financial Indicators presents a discussion of business cycle indicators and the term structure of interest rates. Chapter 3: International Indicators presents Balance of Payments accounts, nominal and real exchange rate and interest rate parity conditions in an open economy.

Back to Nouriel Roubini Macroeconomics Homepage