This 28-session equity valuation class will be recorded starting January 22, 2025, and the sessions will be online, though recordings will be acceible on multiple platforms. You can get the supporting lecture notes by clicking on the pdf files below - the pages covered by each lecture are provided next to each lecture. For the syllabus and other details, visit the home page .
Lecture Notes
Webcasts
This page will include the webcasts from the current class. The webcasts
can be accessed in one of four ways:
Options for following class
You can follow this class on YouTube. I have created a playlist for the class, where the sessions will be posted sequentially with links to slides and other material.
Finally, you can read the emails that I send to the class by this link.
Session Webcasts | Topics covered | Lecture notes |
Preview of the class |
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Valuation: Priors and Preconceptions (Self test - take it when you get a chance) |
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Class Structure and Logistics | ||
Post-class test and solution. | ||
Much of the raw material (data) that we use for valuation comes from annual reports and financial filings. (10, 10Q). In this presentation, I lay out a template for extracting information from these filings, separating the stuff that matters from the stuff that does not, using P&G in September 2012 as an illustration. (This webcast is almost ten years old, but annual reports and 10Ks have become even denser and longer since, making the exercise of separating what matters fro,m what does not even tricker.) | ||
Valuation bias: A test and my solutions | ||
Valuation Project/Grading Criteria |
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Post-class test and solution. | ||
Valuation of the week #1 |
Bubble or Bust: Valuing the S&P 500 Index! |
Google shared spreadsheet |
Cash flow consistency: A test (Congoleum) | ||
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Post-class test and solution. | ||
Weekly Challenge #1 |
Reconciling firm and equity valuation |
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The first step in analysis is collecting data on your company, as well as macro data and this webcast covers the basics. | ||
Risk free Rates: A test | ||
DCF inputs: The Discount Rate The Risk free Rate |
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Post-class test and solution | ||
Valuation of the week #2 |
Valuing AI: Nvidia, DeepSeek and the Rest of the Story |
Google shared spreadsheet |
Equity Risk Premiums | ||
Riskfree Rates - Low and Lower Equity Risk Premiums |
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Post class test and solution | ||
Weekly Challenge #2 | Country risk and risk premiums | Weekly challenge # 2 Solution |
Valuation Tools Webcast #2a Estimating a risk free rate |
Estimating a risk free rate |
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Implied Equity Risk Premium | ||
Implied Equity Risk Premiums First steps on relative risk |
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Post class test and solution | ||
Valuation of the week # 3 |
Aramco: A loaded bet on Oil and the House of Saud |
Google Shared Spreadsheet |
Betas: A test | Lecture note packet 1: Pages 79-104 | |
First steps on betas Measuring Relative Risk (Betas & Alternatives) The cost of debt Cost of Capital |
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Post class test and solution | ||
Weekly Challenge # 2a | Implied Premium versus Riskfree Rate |
Implied premium challenge, data and solution |
Valuation Tools Webcast #3 Implied Equity Risk Premiums |
The logic and the measurement questions behind equity risk premiums are examined in this webcast. | Presentation Spreadsheet S&P 500 on buybacks S&P 500 earnings |
Estimate a company's equity risk premium | ||